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Expert League Draft 2


Expert League Mock Draft #2
September
29, 2007

I recently participated in my second expert mock draft of the season.  There were 12 teams drafting 14 players.  The stat categories were P, A, R, S, B, 3, FG%, and FT%.  and there was a requirement that the team start 2 centers.  The full results of the draft are shown below.

Looking at the results, the first overall pick of Kevin Garnett brings up an important issue.  That issue being should KG be number 1!?  Last season Lebron James was the consensus number one overall selection but this year that player will vary from league to league.  At this time I do not believe I have Garnett projected to be number one overall for any scoring system.  The reason is I have concerns that playing with Paul Pierce and Ray Allen will cut into his fantasy value in terms of his scoring potential.  Also note that Garnett is now in his early 30’s and has completed 12 long NBA seasons.  At some point soon he will enter into that natural, gentle downward trend in production.

Another thing that struck me about this draft is that there were six players that were also on my team in a previous expert draft with the same league set up.  That begs the question, am I overvaluing this players or are they truly sleepers – or perhaps it is a coincidence!  The players I drafted are shown below with the players also taken in the previous team highlighted in bold.

Dirk Nowitzki

Vince Carter

Carmelo Anthony

Emeka Okafor

Manu Ginobili

Andrea Bargnani

Monta Ellis

Jarrett Jack

Paul Millsap

Andrew Bynum

Charlie Villanueva

Hakim Warrick

Mike Dunleavy

Shelden Williams

The first two players, Vince Carter and Carmelo Anthony, I will cover at once.  It seems in these expert leagues there is an avoidance of players whose value is derived primarily from scoring.  Pau Gasol and Chris Bosh were taken higher than I would have projected perhaps because of their center eligibility.  Similarly Jason Kidd and Steve Nash were taken higher than I would have projected for their PG eligibility and coveted assist potential.  I had Carter and Anthony 13 and 14 on my depth chart and took them with the 22nd and 27th pick.  I certainly feel they have that kind of value so it seems that at least among experts, Carter and Anthony are sleepers.  Taking these players though should make the fantasy owner conscious of the fact that they have met the points category and think about players who excel in areas of than points in the next rounds.

I took Andrea Bargnani with the 70th overall pick and had him at 52nd on my depth chart.  He isn’t quite getting the respect yet you would expect from a former number one overall pick who is just entering his second season.  He does have some concerns about his health but I do not think he has been overvalued and is another sleeper candidate.

I took Jarrett Jack with the 94th overall pick and had him ranked 74th on my depth chart.  Perhaps Steve Blake and Sergio Rodriguez will take a bigger bite from him than projected so based on me getting him in two separate drafts I may reduce his playing time projections.

I took Paul Millsap with the 99th overall pick and had him ranked 77th overall.  I like his potential and he has additional upside in the form of things not working out with Andrei Kirilenko.

I took Hakim Warrick with the 142nd overall pick and had him ranked 94th overall.  Perhaps the ranking is too high but he should certainly perform better than 142.  In Memphis Pau Gasol and Mike Miller will command playing time and he will also need to compete with Rudy Gay.  If Darko Milicic does not work out at center, Warrick can get more playing time if Gasol spends some time at center.

The complete draft is shown below for your information. 

 

Round 1

 

1. Matecun – Kevin Garnett F/C – Celtics

2. Sargent – Kobe Bryant – G - Lakers

3. Klyce – Dirk Nowitzki – F - Mavericks

4. Velasco – Shawn Marion – F - Suns

5. Menocal – LeBron James – F - Cavaliers

6. Stein – Gilbert Arenas – G - Wizards

7. Buser – Steve Nash – G - Suns

8. Slight – Amare Stoudemire – F/C - Suns

9. Alexander – Yao Ming – C - Rockets

10. Ganschow – Dwyane Wade – G - Heat

11. Beer – Jason Kidd – G - Nets

12. VanderWoude – Chris Paul – G - Hornets

 

 

Round 2

 

1. VanderWoude – Chris Bosh - F/C - Raptors

2. Beer – Tim Duncan – F/C - Spurs

3. Ganschow – Pau Gasol – F/C - Grizzlies

4. Alexander – Josh Smith – G/F - Hawks

5. Slight – Rashard Lewis – F - Magic

6. Buser – Caron Butler – G/F - Wizards

7. Stein – Allen Iverson – G - Nuggets

8. Menocal – Baron Davis – G - Warriors

9. Velasco – Andre Iguodala – G/F - Sixers

10. Klyce – Vince Carter – G/F - Nets

11. Sargent – Dwight Howard – F/C - Magic

12. Matecun – Paul Pierce – G/F - Celtics

 

 

Round 3

 

1. Matecun – Deron Williams – G - Jazz

2. Sargent – Marcus Camby – C - Nuggets

3. Klyce – Carmelo Anthony – F - Nuggets

4. Velasco – Gerald Wallace – F - Bobcats

5. Menocal – Andrew Bogut – F/C - Bucks

6. Stein – Carlos Boozer – F - Jazz

7. Buser – Ray Allen – G - Celtics

8. Slight – Chauncey Billups – G - Pistons

9. Alexander – Tracy McGrady – G/F - Rockets

10. Ganschow – Michael Redd – G - Bucks

11. Beer – Joe Johnson – G - Hawks

12. VanderWoude – Tyson Chandler – C - Hornets

 

 

Round 4

 

1. VanderWoude – Brandon Roy – G - Blazers

2. Beer – Jermaine O'Neal – F/C - Pacers

3. Ganschow – Josh Howard – F - Mavericks

4. Alexander – Kirk Hinrich – G - Bulls

5. Slight – Al Jefferson – F/C - Wolves

6. Buser – Leandro Barbosa – G - Suns

7. Stein – Mehmet Okur – F/C - Jazz

8. Menocal – Ben Gordon – G - Bulls

9. Velasco – Antawn Jamison – F - Wizards

10. Klyce – Emeka Okafor – F/C - Bobcats

11. Sargent – Raymond Felton – G - Bobcats

12. Matecun – David West – F - Hornets

 

 

Round 5

 

1. Matecun – Ricky Davis – G/F - Wolves

2. Sargent – Kevin Martin – G - Kings

3. Klyce – Manu Ginobili – G - Spurs

4. Velasco – Kevin Durant – G/F - Sonics

5. Menocal – Ron Artest – F - Kings

6. Stein – Rasheed Wallace – F/C - Pistons

7. Buser – Lamar Odom – F - Lakers

8. Slight – Mike Miller – G/F - Grizzlies

9. Alexander – Luol Deng – F - Bulls

10. Ganschow – Jason Terry – G - Mavericks

11. Beer – Tony Parker – G - Spurs

12. VanderWoude – Ben Wallace – C - Bulls

 

 

Round 6

 

1. VanderWoude – Andre Miller – G - Sixers

2. Beer – Mo Williams – G - Bucks

3. Ganschow – Samuel Dalembert – C - Sixers

4. Alexander – Rajon Rondo – G - Celtics

5. Slight – Randy Foye – G - Wolves

6. Buser – LaMarcus Aldridge – F/C - Blazers

7. Stein – Andrei Kirilenko – F - Jazz

8. Menocal – Mike Bibby – G - Kings

9. Velasco – Jason Richardson – G/F - Bobcats

10. Klyce – Andrea Bargnani – F/C - Raptors

11. Sargent – Danny Granger – F - Pacers

12. Matecun - Andris Biedrins – F/C - Raptors

 

 

Round 7

 

1. Matecun – Stephon Marbury – G - Knicks

2. Sargent – T.J. Ford – G - Bucks

3. Klyce – Monta Ellis – G - Warriors

4. Velasco – Jameer Nelson – G - Magic

5. Menocal – Kyle Korver – G/F - Sixers

6. Stein – Al Harrington – F/C - Warriors

7. Buser – Corey Maggette – G/F - Clippers

8. Slight – Stephen Jackson – G/F - Warriors

9. Alexander – Richard Jefferson – F - Nets

10. Ganschow – Josh Childress – G/F - Hawks

11. Beer – Zach Randolph – F - Knicks

12. VanderWoude – Tayshaun Prince – G/F - Pistons

 

 

Round 8

 

1. VanderWoude – Andres Nocioni – F - Bulls

2. Beer – Brad Miller – C - Kings

3. Ganschow – Peja Stojakovic – F - Hornets

4. Alexander – Nene – F/C - Nuggets

5. Slight – Rudy Gay – G/F - Grizzlies

6. Buser – Richard Hamilton – G/F - Pistons

7. Stein – Tyrus Thomas – F - Bulls

8. Menocal – Zydrunas Ilgauskas – C - Cavaliers

9. Velasco – Mike Conley – G - Grizzlies

10. Klyce – Jarrett Jack – G - Blazers

11. Sargent – Chris Kaman – C - Clippers

12. Matecun – Eddy Curry – C - Knicks

 

 

Round 9

 

1. Matecun – Boris Diaw – F/C - Suns

2. Sargent – Al Thornton – F - Clippers

3. Klyce – Paul Millsap – F - Jazz

4. Velasco – Shaquille O'Neal – C - Heat

5. Menocal – Marco Belinelli – G - Warriors

6. Stein – Raja Bell – G/F - Suns

7. Buser – Darko Milicic – F/C - Grizzlies

8. Slight – Anthony Parker – G/F - Raptors

9. Alexander – Morris Peterson – G/F - Hornets

10. Ganschow – Shane Battier – G/F - Rockets

11. Beer – Chucky Atkins – G - Nuggets

12. VanderWoude – Jamal Crawford – G - Knicks

 

 

Round 10

 

1. VanderWoude – Jeff Green – F - Sonics

2. Beer – Nenad Krstic – F/C - Nets

3. Ganschow – Luke Walton – F - Lakers

4. Alexander – Al Horford – F/C - Hawks

5. Slight – David Lee – F - Knicks

6. Buser – Troy Murphy – F/C – Pacers

7. Stein - Acie Law – G - Hawks

8. Menocal – Yi Jianlian – F/C - Bucks

9. Velasco – Nick Collison – F/C - Sonics

10. Klyce – Andrew Bynum – C - Lakers

11. Sargent – Travis Outlaw – F - Blazers

12. Matecun - Channing Frye – F/C - Blazers

 

 

Round 11

 

1. Matecun – Drew Gooden – F - Cavaliers

2. Sargent – Delonte West – G - Sonics

3. Klyce – Charlie Villanueva – F - Bucks

4. Velasco – Jamaal Tinsley – G - Pacers

5. Menocal – Marvin Williams – F - Hawks

6. Stein – Brevin Knight – G - Clippers

7. Buser – Walter Herrmann – F - Bobcats

8. Slight – Devin Harris – G - Mavericks

9. Alexander – Steve Francis – G - Rockets

10. Ganschow – Ryan Gomes – F - Wolves

11. Beer – Grant Hill – G/F - Suns

12. VanderWoude – Larry Hughes – G - Cavaliers

 

 

Round 12

 

1. VanderWoude – Jamaal Magloire – F/C - Nets

2. Beer – Tim Thomas – F - Clippers

3. Ganschow – Charlie Bell – G/F - Bucks

4. Alexander – Derek Fisher – G - Lakers

5. Slight – Cuttino Mobley – G - Clippers

6. Buser – Elton Brand – F - Clippers

7. Stein – Jose Calderon – G - Raptors

8. Menocal – Sam Cassell – G - Clippers

9. Velasco – J.R. Smith – G - Nuggets

10. Klyce – Hakim Warrick – F - Grizzlies

11. Sargent – Chris Wilcox – F/C - Sonics

12. Matecun - Hedo Turkoglu – G/F - Magic

 

 

Round 13

 

1. Matecun – Trevor Ariza – G/F - Magic

2. Sargent – Jason Maxiell – F/C - Pistons

3. Klyce – Mike Dunleavy – G/F - Pacers

4. Velasco – Sean Williams – F/C - Nets

5. Menocal – Erick Dampier – C - Mavericks

6. Stein – Antonio McDyess – F - Pistons

7. Buser – Luis Scola – F - Rockets

8. Slight – Sean May – F - Bobcats

9. Alexander – Quentin Richardson – G/F - Knicks

10. Ganschow – Earl Watson – G - Sonics

11. Beer – Wally Szczerbiak – G/F - Sonics

12. VanderWoude – Luke Ridnour – G - Sonics

 

 

 

Round 14

 

1. VanderWoude – Joakim Noah – F - Bulls

2. Beer – Daniel Gibson – G - Cavaliers

3. Ganschow – Robert Swift – C - Sonics

4. Alexander – Mark Blount – C - Wolves

5. Slight – Kyle Lowry – G - Grizzlies

6. Buser – Luther Head – G - Rockets

7. Stein – Brandan Wright – F - Warriors

8. Menocal – Alonzo Mourning – C - Heat

9. Velasco – Bobby Simmons – G/F - Bucks

10. Klyce – Shelden Williams – F - Hawks

11. Sargent – Louis Williams – G - Sixers

12. Matecun –


 

 

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